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Do Not Retreat
At times of crisis, should economies open up or
retreat? Most of the economies tend to clam up, but in the medium term, this
could spell disaster. Economies that are more open will be better placed to
stage a faster and stronger recovery once the global crisis comes to an end.
Only national stimulus packages that many countries such as the United States
have put in place alone cannot help bring about a solution. The world is now
confronted with the worst economic crisis in generations -- a crisis which
threatens to undo the economic development achieved by many countries and to
erode people's faith in an open international trading system. Trade has been a
major casualty of this crisis, with WTO economists foreseeing a decline this
year of nearly 10% in volume terms, its worst result since the end of the Second
World War. The fear that has stemmed out of this situation is that trade
openness has made economies more vulnerable to the crisis. But truly, trade
cannot be the cause of the collapse in demand. This is only the result of the
simultaneous reduction in aggregate demand across all major world economies. In
addition, trade finance, which lubricates the wheels of international trade, is
evaporating, thereby contributing to the friction.
This exponential decline in demand and its fears
have made some countries hike tariffs, enact new non-tariff measures, and launch
more anti-dumping actions. Some of the measures that have been taken up to
stimulate economies contain provisions that favour domestic goods and services
at the expense of imports. Though these measures fall within the ambit of WTO
rules, they have had some adverse effects. So, the only solution is to open
markets further, and not to retreat, though opening markets may pose a risk of
greater volatility to many countries. More open trade is essential. A surge in
protectionism should be prevented at all costs.
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